All bets are off as the Arctic literally enters uncharted waters amid continuing high temperatures.
Arctic Sea Ice Extent Dips Below Previous 2012 Record As Collapse Continues
Sea ice extent and thickness are recovering more slowly than any year on record following the official 2016 summer minimum recorded Sept. 10. That minimum tied the second lowest extent ever recorded (2007).
Not surprisingly, the extended streak of high temperatures in the Arctic has slowed the expected sea ice recovery to the point that on October 26 it dipped below the record breaking year 2012.
If the slow re-freezing recovery continues, the ice field extent will be below 9.8 million km2 by November . That number is significantly less than the record breaking year 2012.
Arctic air temperatures have been averaging 18 degrees Fahrenheit higher than normal, driven by sea surface water temperatures. This meteorological scenario sets up a feedback loop, which fuels strong, unseasonable storms that can further contribute to the collapse of the thinning ice on the perimeter.
May 2017: "The Arctic is unraveling," according to Rafe Pomerance, quoted at Nature.com. The region is warming more than twice as fast as the rest of the planet, and the predicted ice melt and sea level rise is happening more rapidly than previously predicted. The new estimate for an ice free summer north pole is 2030.
April 2017: Cycling along with the ClimateDenierTrolls as atmospheric CO2 crosses 410PPM: Scientists say the Earth is far outside the range of the Milankovich Cycles. The climate is no longer controlled by anything that resembles a natural process. READ THE WHOLE STORY
Late August 2016:
AUG 27 ARCTIC METHANE SPIKES The Arctic News reports significant upticks in methane releases from Alaska to Greenland on August 25 and 26 with levels as high as 2454 ppb. Methane is a powerful short term greenhouse gas.
ARCHIVES JULY 2016: As (Not So) Permafrost Thaws, Methane Bubbles Cause The Ground To Wobble "Like Jelly"
On Belyy Island in northern Siberia off the Yamal Peninsula, what were described as "fountains of gas" erupted up out of the permafrost when grass and soil was removed by researchers. The scientists say the CO2 releases in these areas are 20 times the norm, while methane (CH4) releases are 200 times natural levels. So far, over a dozen of these bubble zones have been found, but that is likely just the tip of the iceberg.
MARCH 2016: Things are getting crazy in the Arctic
Climatologists are beside themselves wondering what is going on in the Arctic as Spring 2016 approaches. Even Dr. Roy Spencer, a noted "climate skeptic" described the temperature variations as "Whopping." That seems unambiguous.
FUN FACT: Temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere exceeded 2 degrees above Celsius on March 3, 2016
The Svalbard in northern Norway has averaged 18F (10C) above average for the winter of 2015-2016, with temps rising above freezing on dozens of dates.
This particular set of data is satellite driven, which means that the eyes in the sky are able to access data from remote parts of the globe. More alarming data has been provided by NOAA and NASA, who measure surface temperature. The climate denier industry (and we know where their money comes from) considered research by the agencies because they are part of the government, which is bad.
FEB 2016: Toxic Algae Are Sliming Arctic Mammals And Things Are Getting Weird
The toxic algae blooms that were wreaking havoc in the Pacific Northwest in the past decade have moved north into Arctic waters, causing biologists to question the present and future impact on key marine mammal species, and the viability of the food chain as a whole.
READOf Melting Permafrost, Methane & Microbes
The release of methane trapped in the permafrost for thousands of years, and the emergence of microbes frozen in time beneath iced over ponds and lakes.
READGlacier Collapse Causing Major Uptick In Greenland Earthquakes
Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory reports that the sudden uptick in Greenland's seismic activity is due to massive hunks of calving glacial ice collapsing back onto the main glacier. READNOAA's Latest Report On Climate Is Not Good News
Summary of the National Oceanic And Atmospheric Administration and American Meteorological Society joint climate report. READ